Video: Polling Guru Nate Silver: Hillary One State Away From Losing Election

Hillary Clinton is one state away from losing the presidential election, FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver said Sunday.

While the Democratic presidential nominee has a 65.7 percent chance of winning the presidency on Tuesday, she is not “in a terribly safe position,” the pollster said on ABC’s “This Week.”

“The electoral map is actually less solid for Clinton than it was for Obama four years ago,” Silver said.

Silver came to notoriety by correctly predicting President Obama’s victories in 2008 and 2012.

Clinton is weaker among Midwestern voters, while Obama had leads in states like Ohio.
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“Clinton has about 270, so she’s one state away from losing the Electoral College,” he said.

Silver told ABC a larger number of undecided voters leaves the election “vulnerable, if the undecideds break in a certain way.”

“In that sense, both candidates still need a good turnout on Election Day, and still have their work cut out for them,” Silver added.

Silver also defended FiveThirtyEight’s numbers, which “are much more bullish” for Trump and “more cautious on Hillary,” according Stephanapolous.



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